The Playbook

The Moves They Always Make

20 min read

Once you've been through the system, you start to notice patterns.

The same justifications. The same deflections. The same ways of framing choices so that "more" always seems like the responsible answer and "less" always seems reckless.

These aren't conspiracies. They're not coordinated. They're just what happens when smart people operate inside a system with misaligned incentives. Over time, certain moves become standard — because they work. They protect the institution. They generate revenue. They avoid liability.

This is the playbook. Learn it, and you'll recognize it everywhere.

Play #1 — "We Don't Have Data Saying You Should Stop"

How it works:

No one funds studies on when to stop treatment. So there's never evidence that stopping is safe. The absence of evidence becomes reframed as evidence against stopping.

"We don't have data saying you should stop" sounds scientific. It sounds cautious. What it actually means is: "No one paid to answer that question, so we'll keep doing what we're doing."

Where you'll see it:

  • Immunotherapy continuation beyond studied duration
  • Long-term use of medications that were only trialed short-term
  • Ongoing monitoring and testing with no defined endpoint
  • "Maintenance" protocols that never end

The counter: "Show me the data that says I should continue. What does the evidence say about outcomes at my stage, with my response? If the studies only went two years, why are we at year four?"

Play #2 — "Just to Be Safe"

How it works:

Safety is framed as one-directional — more intervention is always safer. But every intervention carries risk. Every scan has radiation. Every procedure has complications. Every drug has side effects.

"Just to be safe" only counts the risk of not acting. It ignores the risk of acting.

Where you'll see it:

  • Ordering extra tests that won't change management
  • Recommending surgery "just in case" pathology is worse than expected
  • Continuing medications beyond their useful window
  • Surveillance protocols that create anxiety without improving outcomes

The counter: "What are the risks of doing this? What's the risk of waiting and watching? What would we learn from this test that would actually change what we do?"

Play #3 — "This Is Standard of Care"

How it works:

"Standard of care" sounds authoritative — like it's the objectively correct approach. In reality, it often means "this is what everyone does" or "this is what protects us legally."

Standards of care are shaped by:

  • How clinical trials were designed (often by drug companies)
  • Specialty society guidelines (often written by doctors with industry ties)
  • Fear of malpractice (doing what's defensible, not what's optimal)
  • Institutional habit (we've always done it this way)

Standard of care is a floor, not a ceiling. It's the minimum defensible practice, not the best possible care for you.

Where you'll see it:

  • Justifying treatments that may not apply to your specific situation
  • Dismissing alternatives that aren't yet "standard"
  • Resisting de-escalation even when evidence supports it
  • Treating guidelines as rules rather than guidance

The counter: "I understand that's standard. But what does the evidence say for someone with my specific profile? Are there studies showing better outcomes with a different approach? What would you do if this were your body?"

Play #4 — "You're Tolerating It Well"

How it works:

For treatments that were once limited by toxicity, tolerability becomes the new rationale for continuation. If you're not actively suffering, why stop?

This flips the logic. The question should be "is this still helping?" not "is this still tolerable?"

Where you'll see it:

  • Immunotherapy extended because side effects are manageable
  • Medications continued indefinitely because they're not causing obvious harm
  • Chemotherapy protocols pushed to maximum tolerated dose rather than minimum effective dose

The counter: "I can tolerate a lot of things. That doesn't mean I should. What's the evidence that continuing provides benefit beyond what I've already received?"

Play #5 — "We Want to Be Aggressive"

How it works:

Aggression is framed as virtue. Fighting. Battling. Being aggressive. The implication: if you question the intensity of treatment, you're not taking this seriously.

But cancer treatment isn't a war where more firepower always wins. Sometimes the aggressive approach does more damage to you than to the disease. Sometimes the cancer is already beaten and you're still firing.

Where you'll see it:

  • Recommending maximum-intensity treatment without discussing alternatives
  • Framing watchful waiting as "doing nothing"
  • Implying that patients who question treatment aren't committed to their survival
  • Treating early-stage disease with late-stage intensity

The counter: "I want to be effective, not just aggressive. What's the minimum effective approach? What do outcomes look like for patients who chose less intensive treatment?"

Play #6 — The Specialist Spiral

How it works:

You see a specialist for one problem. They find something adjacent. They refer you to another specialist. That specialist finds something else. Each one sees the world through their specialty's lens. Each one recommends their specialty's interventions.

No one is looking at the whole picture. No one is asking whether all of this is adding up to better health or just more medicine.

Where you'll see it:

  • Cardiology refers to nephrology refers to endocrinology
  • Incidental findings on scans lead to more scans lead to biopsies lead to procedures
  • Multiple specialists, each optimizing their piece, none coordinating the whole
  • Polypharmacy — each specialist adding their medication to the pile

The counter: "Before we add another specialist or another intervention, can we step back? What's the overall goal here? Is there someone coordinating all of this, or am I the only one seeing the whole picture?"

Play #7 — "We Should Get a Baseline"

How it works:

A test is ordered not because something is wrong, but to establish a "baseline" for future comparison. This sounds reasonable — until you realize that baseline creates a cascade.

Any minor abnormality becomes something to "watch." Watching requires repeat testing. Repeat testing finds more things. More things require more watching.

Where you'll see it:

  • Routine imaging that finds incidental nodules
  • Blood work that reveals borderline values
  • Screening tests that lead to diagnostic workups
  • "Let's just check" becoming an annual ritual

The counter: "If this baseline shows something abnormal, what will we do differently? If the answer is 'repeat it in six months,' do we need the baseline at all? What's the actual clinical utility here?"

Play #8 — The Nocebo Setup

How it works:

You're told about every possible side effect, every worst-case scenario, every thing that could go wrong if you don't follow the recommendation. This isn't just informed consent — it's priming you to comply.

If they tell you that you might die without this treatment, and you decline, and something bad happens — well, you were warned. The liability shifts to you.

Where you'll see it:

  • Exhaustive recitation of risks of not treating
  • Vague, minimized discussion of risks of treating
  • Consent forms that list every possible complication
  • Language designed to make declining feel reckless

The counter: "I've heard the risks of not treating. Now walk me through the risks of treating with the same level of detail. What are the complication rates? What are the long-term effects? What does the quality of life data show?"

Play #9 — "Your Insurance Covers It"

How it works:

When you're not paying directly, cost disappears as a factor in decision-making. "Your insurance covers it" makes it sound free — even though you're paying through premiums, and society is paying through the overall cost of care.

More importantly, it removes a natural check on whether something is worth doing. If it costs you nothing out of pocket, why not?

Where you'll see it:

  • Recommending expensive imaging when cheaper alternatives exist
  • Brand-name drugs when generics are equivalent
  • High-cost procedures when watchful waiting is reasonable
  • Additional visits, tests, or interventions because "it's covered"

The counter: "Covered or not, is this the most effective use of resources? Would you recommend the same thing if I were paying cash? Is there a less expensive approach with similar outcomes?"

Play #10 — The Documented CYA

How it works:

When you push back or decline a recommendation, the doctor documents it carefully. "Patient declined recommended [intervention] against medical advice. Risks and benefits discussed."

This isn't about your care. It's about their protection. The documentation creates a legal record that shifts responsibility to you.

This is fine — you should have the right to decline. But recognize the dynamic: they're not just noting your decision, they're building a legal defense.

Where you'll see it:

  • Detailed documentation whenever you decline something
  • Language like "against medical advice" or "patient refused"
  • Requests to sign forms acknowledging you've declined
  • Subtle (or not subtle) pressure to accept the recommendation to avoid this process

The counter: "I understand you need to document this. I'm comfortable with my decision. Please also document the reasons I've given and the questions I've asked that haven't been fully answered."

Play #11 — The Missing Alternative

How it works:

You're presented with a choice: do this treatment, or don't. What's often missing is the third option: do something different.

The framing excludes alternatives that are less profitable, less standard, or outside the specialist's domain. You're choosing between their recommendation and nothing — not between their recommendation and all available options.

Where you'll see it:

  • Surgery vs. no surgery (without discussing less invasive options)
  • This drug vs. no drug (without discussing lifestyle interventions)
  • Aggressive treatment vs. "giving up" (without discussing de-escalation)
  • The specialist's intervention vs. nothing (without discussing other specialties' approaches)

The counter: "What are all my options here, not just the one you're recommending? What would a different specialist recommend? What do patients who chose differently experience?"

Play #12 — "Let's Discuss This at Your Next Appointment"

How it works:

When you ask hard questions or push back, the conversation gets deferred. "Let's discuss this next time." "We'll revisit this after the next scan." "Let's see how you're doing in three months."

Sometimes this is legitimate. Often, it's a way to avoid the conversation without refusing outright. The system is patient. It can wait you out.

Where you'll see it:

  • Questions about stopping treatment deferred to "after the next scan"
  • Concerns about side effects pushed to the next visit
  • Requests for second opinions discouraged as premature
  • Decisions delayed until you're exhausted enough to comply

The counter: "I'd like to discuss this now. I've been thinking about it, and I need to understand the reasoning before I continue. If you don't have the information available, when can you get it?"

Play #13 — "That's Not Evidence-Based" (Until It Is)

How it works:

You bring up something you've researched — a study, a protocol, an approach that's outside the mainstream. The doctor dismisses it. "That's not evidence-based." "There's no data supporting that." "We don't recommend that."

Months or years later, the same doctor recommends the same thing. They've read about it now. It's entered their awareness. They have no memory of dismissing it when you brought it up.

The information was available. The evidence existed. But it wasn't in their workflow, so it wasn't real to them — until it was.

Where you'll see it:

  • Nutritional interventions dismissed, then later recommended
  • Fasting protocols ignored, then adopted
  • Supplements scoffed at, then studied and validated
  • Patient research dismissed as "Dr. Google," then confirmed by journals they finally read

In my first bout of cancer, I'd learned on my own that fasting before treatment could improve energy and reduce side effects. I mentioned it to my oncologist. He said it wouldn't matter.

Eight months later, same doctor, same office — he tells me that if I fast before treatment, I could feel better afterwards. Something he'd read.

I looked at him and smirked. He didn't recall at all that I'd told him the same thing months earlier. He'd dismissed it when it came from me. He believed it when it came from his journal.

How many patients missed out on eight months of feeling better because he was behind, or dismissive, or just not listening?

The pattern: Doctors are overwhelmed. They can't read everything. So they use "not evidence-based" as a shortcut for "I haven't seen it yet." The problem is that shortcut costs patients — months, years, quality of life — while the system catches up.

The counter: "Can you point me to the evidence against this? Not the absence of evidence — actual studies showing it doesn't work or causes harm. If the evidence is just missing, that's different from being negative."

The Meta-Pattern

All of these plays have something in common: they shift the burden of proof.

In a rational system, the burden would be on the intervention. Prove this helps. Prove continuing is better than stopping. Prove more is better than less.

In the actual system, the burden is on you. Prove you don't need this. Prove it's safe to stop. Prove less is sufficient.

This inversion protects the system. It generates revenue. It avoids liability. And it wears you down until compliance feels easier than resistance.

You don't have to prove you should stop. They have to prove you should continue. Flip the burden back where it belongs.

Recognizing the Playbook

Once you see these patterns, you can't unsee them.

That doesn't mean every recommendation is suspect. It doesn't mean your doctors are adversaries. Most of them are doing their best inside a system that shapes behavior in ways they don't fully recognize.

But it does mean:

  • You can ask better questions
  • You can recognize when you're being managed rather than informed
  • You can insist on evidence rather than accepting authority
  • You can take time rather than being rushed
  • You can get second opinions without apologizing
  • You can say no

The playbook works because most patients don't know it exists. Now you do.

Next Up

Questions They Don't Want You to Ask

The specific questions that expose the gaps. What to ask your oncologist — and what to do when they can't answer.